Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 5.551875e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011
2025-03-09 4.638798e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-03-16 4.031795e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2025-03-23 3.586657e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2025-03-30 3.141257e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-04-06 2.828875e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000015 0.000024
2025-04-13 2.524150e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027
2025-04-20 2.317920e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000031
2025-04-27 2.171425e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000037
2025-05-04 2.018710e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000042
2025-05-11 1.902602e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000024 0.000049
2025-05-18 1.783923e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000056
2025-05-25 1.654997e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000064
2025-06-01 1.541025e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000072
2025-06-08 1.454269e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000083
2025-06-15 1.383631e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000034 0.000097
2025-06-22 1.289091e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000036 0.000108
2025-06-29 1.220933e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000038 0.000123
2025-07-06 1.141164e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000040 0.000135
2025-07-13 1.087933e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000043 0.000155
2025-07-20 1.051210e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000047 0.000183
2025-07-27 1.006023e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000050 0.000211
2025-08-03 9.717264e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000055 0.000249